Newsletter #89
Interests in braided rivers are often competing and conflicting, the second point is where we find common ground: ecosystem health. I mention this because one common ground is the unanticipated threats from rising temperatures. At the end of this newsletter are links to two research papers that are worth reading. The first is the unexpected multiplier threat from ‘supercharged’ thunderstorms on floods. While the research is in Australia, the laws of physics don’t stop halfway across the ditch. The second is something I had never considered before: the effects of rising temperature of groundwater on ecosystem health. I’ve also included a link to the interactive map created by the researchers. If you’re morbidly curious, slide across to the Amazon and take a look there as well. And just as a reminder, the average global temperature June 2023 – May 2024 was 1.63°C above the 1850-1900 pre-Industrial average.
Bird Surveys:
NZ Garden Bird Survey 29 June – 7 July
News
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Calculating birds’ daily energy needs provides new details about the lives of extinct species—and may inform conservation for those at risk today. – Hakaia Magazine
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Migratory freshwater fish populations ‘down by more than 80% since 1970′ – The Guardian
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(Just in case you were wondering…) How the fast-track law could expose future NZ governments to expensive trade disputes – The Conversation
Research & Reports
- 2023-24: Lower Waimakariri River Southern Black Backed Gull Control An Operational Review of the 2023 – 2024 Season (ECan)
- 2024: South Ashburton-Hakatere outcome monitoring report 2023-2024
- 2024: Armarego-Marriott; Gene plasticity higher in hybrids, Nature Climate Change 14, p427
- 2024: Wasco et al; A systematic review of climate change science relevant to Australian design flood estimation, Hydrology and Earth Systems Sciences, 28|5 pp1251-1285 (Open access)
- Plain English explanation: Supercharged thunderstorms: have we underestimated how climate change drives extreme rain and floods?
“ In media articles about unprecedented flooding, you’ll often come across the statement that for every 1°C of warming, the atmosphere can hold about 7% more moisture. This figure comes from research undertaken by the French engineer Sadi Carnot and published 200 years ago this year.
“We now know there’s more to the story. Yes, a hotter atmosphere has the capacity to hold more moisture. But the condensation of water vapour to make rain droplets releases heat. This, in turn, can fuel stronger convection in thunderstorms, which can then dump substantially more rain.
“This means that the intensity of extreme rainfall could increase by much more than 7% per degree of warming. What we’re seeing is that thunderstorms can likely dump about double or triple that rate – around 14–21% more rain for each degree of warming.”
- 2024: Benz et al; Global groundwater warming due to climate change, Nature Geoscience 04 June (Open access).
